As 2023 general election draws closer, political analysts and gladiators have become very agitated with regards to the happenings and the direction the country may likely take in its never ending journey for political solution.
The recent developments seems farfetched going by the manipulation and actions of chieftains of the parties on the likelihood of a president of South East extraction come 2023. This is because happenings in the parties are not pointing in that direction.
What is however certain in the buildup is that the final decision on this by the ruling APC would greatly determine where the opposition PDP would focus the search for its candidate in with a view of returning back to power in 2023.
Taking into cognizance the prevailing situation in the country, the main opposition PDP have a bright chance of regaining power owing to the massive failure of the ruling APC at the centre as well as in the Northern States, especially on the issues of insecurity that's currently threatening the corporate existence of the country. And this largely depends on how PDP handle the process regarding who fly the party's ticket.
Currently, crises is brewing in the ruling APC on which of the region to produce it's presidential candidate and who among the gladiators is the best for the party that can garner votes in the six geopolitical region.
The quest by the PDP to regain its power is strategically anchor on two planks, one the personality and the second the region based on the existing reality in the country especially the woefully performance of the APC that has created so much disillusion in the entire country especially the heart of the party, the North and which is fast spreading towards the south west.
The recent bloody clash between the Hausas and Yoruba traders in Shasa market would have a great impact on build up to 2023 general elections.
On personality, the PDP should focus on the individual that can garner double digit million at a blast of the whistle from a single region. And in searching for this, the former governor of Kano State Engr. Musa Rabiu Kwankwaso readily comes to mind.
It's going to be herculean task for any individual within both APC and PDP to defeat Engr. Kwankwaso in a presidential contest in the Northern parts of the country. His platform which is known as the Kwankwasiyya Movement has over 15 million registered members in the region.
Only recently, a fortnight ago, some students Sen. Kwankwaso sponsored on scholarship abroad returned back to the country after successful graduation. They were received at Aminu Kano International airport by Sen. Kwankwaso himself.
Many see Sen Kwankwaso as a performer and achiever combined that can be trusted with power without regrets unlike the incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari who has considerably lost that confidence of the people in the region, a situation that may hugely impact negatively on the fortune of APC in the region and the entire country.
Many believe that APC doesn't have a personality that can win the presidential election for the party in 2023 arising from its failures, and which will be an advantage to Kwankwaso and by extension, the PDP who is expected to cash in on it as a result of his past sterling records of the party in the past. Judging by the current reality, it's safer for PDP to pick its candidate from the North if the party wants to beat APC to its game.
It's becoming clear by the day and going by body language of the leaders of the ruling party APC, the party would pick its candidate from South West and if that happens, who are the likely individuals that might benefit from such power shift?
The beneficiary might be any of these party members, the current Vice President, Professor Yemi Osinbanjo, National Leader, Senator Bola Tinubu, the Minister for Works and Housing, Mr. Babatunde Fashola as well as the current Ekiti State Governor, Dr. Kayode Fayemi.
In a well contested election, it's clear that none of these men can matched or defeat Sen Kwankwaso in the Northern States. On the reverse side, should the APC dump the South West in its quest to retain power, there is no personality in APC today that can win the presidential election in the region or at best defeat Kwankwaso in the North and the remain region.
And should the PDP pick another candidate outside Kwankwaso, the situation may lead to voter apathy in the northern region, as already many are not going to vote in 2023 which would greatly affect the fortunes of the party in the region where it needs to win desperately.
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